Skip to main content

Spatio-temporal Land Use Regression Modelling of Ozone Levels in Athens, Greece.

  • Authors (legacy)
    Corresponding: Klea Katsouyanni
    Co-authors: Dimakopoulou K.
    Samoli E.
    Katsouyanni K.
    Download PDF
  • gnest_03233_published.pdf
  • Paper ID
    gnest_03233
  • Paper status
    Published
  • Date paper accepted
  • Date paper online
Graphical abstract
Abstract

Spatio-temporal methods have been developed for the estimation of concentrations of pollutants such as particulate matter and nitrogen dioxide for application in epidemiological studies. A limited number of city-specific spatio-temporal ozone (O3) models have been proposed until today. Our aim was to develop a spatio-temporal land use regression (LUR) model that estimates daily concentrations of O3, for the whole year, as well as the warm (April-September) and cold season (October-March), within the greater Athens area. We developed models using a semiparametric approach including linear and smooth functions of spatial and temporal covariates and a bivariate smooth thin plate function. The final set of explanatory variables was selected based on the adjusted-R2. We tested the final model in temporal and spatial terms following a leave-one out monitor approach. The adjusted-R2 in the leave-one-out cross validation was 0.73 for the annual model (warm: 0.65 and cold: 0.70). The spatial terms in our annual model explained 32.9% and the temporal 63.2% of the variability in O3. The developed models showed good validity when comparing predicted and observed measurements for the 2015 data. Spatio-temporal LUR modeling provides a useful tool for estimating O3 spatio-temporal variability with adequate accuracy for subsequent use in epidemiological studies.

Copy to clipboard
Cite this article
Dimakopoulou, K., Samoli, E. and Katsouyanni, K. (2020) “Spatio-temporal Land Use Regression Modelling of Ozone Levels in Athens, Greece”., Global NEST Journal, 22(1). Available at: https://doi.org/10.30955/gnj.003233.